KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 87%
Qualidade do mercado
53 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
0,9 €
Liquidez
2,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
8.0% / 12.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
21/07/26, 19:14 UTC3/11/26, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Chuck Edwards win the North Carolina 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If Chuck Edwards leaves as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Chuck EdwardsThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- Chuck Edwards must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms??
- A Kalshi cota No em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms? é resolvido?
- Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2026.
- Como Will Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Chuck Edwards leaves as U.S. representative before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.