KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualCount Binface Party 66.1%Líder entre 15 opções
Qualidade do mercado
56 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
139,5 €
Liquidez
20,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
76.0% / 78.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 10 minutos
9/07/26, 15:3013/08/27, 14:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Count Binface Party78%
Comparar plataformas· Piers Corbyn
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral80% de correspondência · auto | Média | 1% | 0pt | 9,7 mil € | 246,3 mil € | há 10 minutos | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Média | 2% | +1pt | 139,5 € | 20,3 mil € | há 10 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Clacton by-election: 2nd place
1.0 pts15d
+1.0pt79%
50%
50%
+50 mais resultados
74 • Qualidade médiaSpread apertadoAlta liquidez
Volume total271,6 mil €
Volume 24h9,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.6k78.0%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesStraddleSelleranteontem
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesStraddleSelleranteontem$3.2k75.2%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Yesharrisonhohman8há 5 dias
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Yesharrisonhohman8há 5 dias$2.8k94.4%POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — NoTest669há 14 dias
POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — NoTest669há 14 dias$1.1k90.5%POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Nogrothhá 19 dias
POLYMARKETWill Nigel Farage get second place in the Clacton by-election? — Nogrothhá 19 dias$1.2k80.6%POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesProfessionalPunterhá 20 dias
POLYMARKETWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? — YesProfessionalPunterhá 20 diasTendência de volume
$1599 de jul.20d de dados28 de jul.
Mercados Relacionados
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
636,3 mil €Mark Kelly: 6%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
594,2 mil €James Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
241,5 mil €At least 1%: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
240,5 mil €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
192,6 mil €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
188,2 mil €Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Kalshi, Polymarket win pause against Minnesota's prediction market banCoindesk
CFTC seeks urgent ruling on Minnesota prediction market banCrypto News
Ripple’s other ledger: What $48 million in politics buysCrypto News
Polymarket Account in Farage Backer's Name Took $9M in Crypto From Unknown Sources: FTDecrypt
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.NewsRegras
If Reform UK finishes in 2nd place in the 2026 Clacton by-election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ranking is determined by the specified counting method: For plurality voting: rank is based on vote count or percentage For ranked choice voting: rank is determined by elimination order (runner-up is eliminated in final round for second place) For two-round systems: rank is based on final round results if it proceeds to second round, otherwise first-round totals For proportional representation: rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order
- In case of exact ties, markets resolve proportionally (1/number of tied entities).
- Write-in candidates achieving the specified rank resolve all named candidate markets to NO unless a specific "Write-in" or "Other" option exists.
- Candidates who withdraw or are disqualified after the filing deadline but remain on the ballot are ranked based on votes received.
- If the election is cancelled or postponed beyond expiration, all markets resolve to NO.