KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
48 64%Líder entre 8 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
45 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
32,6 €
Liquidez
6,4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
5/02/26, 00:00 UTC3/11/27, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?
KalshiHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
PolymarketRegras
If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the State of California
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How many House seats will Democrats win in California??
- A Kalshi cota 48 em 64% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How many House seats will Democrats win in California? é resolvido?
- How many House seats will Democrats win in California? deverá ser resolvido em 3 de novembro de 2027.
- Como How many House seats will Democrats win in California? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.