KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 87%
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
1.0% / 4.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
2/03/26, 15:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiRegras
If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Patek Philippe
Mercados abertos
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+5.5pt96%
- $25M+8.5pt94%
- $50M+13.0pt87%
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- Volume total
- € 351,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 351,4 mil
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+6.0pt52%
- 65-89+24.5pt45.1%
- 90-114-2.5pt2.9%
+7 mais resultados
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA+1.0pt78.4%
- Apple+0.6pt13.7%
- Alphabet6.9%
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- 180-199-1.0pt18.2%
- 200-21918.2%
- 160-179+1.0pt14.1%
+23 mais resultados
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,7 mil
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt98%
- Apple-0.3pt2%
- Alphabet0%
+6 mais resultados
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
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- California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
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- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year??
- A Kalshi cota No em 87% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? é resolvido?
- Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will Patek release a steel Nautilus reference this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Patek releases a steel Nautilus reference to the public before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.