Probabilidade implícita atual
CDU 27%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
24 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
1,8 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
16.0% / 26.0%
Spread
62.5%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 minutos
17/05/26, 14:0020/09/27, 14:00
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
CDU27%
Comparar plataformas· CDU
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMelhor no geral70% de correspondência · verificado | Alta | 27% | 0pt | 9,6 mil € | 348,9 mil € | há 16 minutos | Abrir → |
 Smarkets70% de correspondência · vinculado | Baixa | 26% | -1pt | 0 € | 0 € | anteontem | Abrir → |
 KalshiEsta página | Baixa | 27% | 0pt | 0 € | 1,8 mil € | há 16 minutos |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Berlin State Election Winner
2.0%1m
-0.5%33%
27%
+2.0%23%
+21 mais resultados
89 • Alta qualidadeSpread moderadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total2,7 M €
Volume 24h9,6 mil €
POLYMARKETTambém disponível em Smarkets
Berlin State Election Winner
Fechados
32.8%
25.6%
17.9%
+2 mais resultados
28 • Baixa qualidadeSpread desconhecidoBaixa liquidezMercado raso
Volume total0,9 €
Volume 24h0 €
SMARKETSRegras
If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Grandes negociações
$1.4k81.9%POLYMARKETWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? — Noflawfencehá 10 dias
POLYMARKETWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? — Noflawfencehá 10 diasTendência de volume
$63 de jul.18d de dados26 de jul.
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If CDU wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber.
- If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No.
- This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If AfD wins the 2026 Berlin state election, then the market resolves to Yes.