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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. AI capability growth before July?
AI capability growth before July?

AI capability growth before July?

7.0% (24h)One-Off20d
KalshiKalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
At least 1550 score
At least 1550 score 2%-7.0%
Líder entre 8 opções
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

126,5 €

Liquidez

910,5 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

1.0% / 2.0%

Spread

100.0%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 6 minutos

6/01/26, 15:001/07/26, 14:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

At least 1550 score2%

Regras

If an AI model has a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1575 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1625 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Ativos nestes tópicos

BitcoinBTC$62,841.86+2.86%EthereumETH$1,657.62+2.65%SolanaSOL$65.14+2.62%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+2.05%XRPXRP$1.12+1.28%BNBBNB$599.84+2.84%

Regras

If an AI model has a score of at least 1525 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1550 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1575 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1600 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1625 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If an AI model has a score of at least 1650 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.