KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Republican 52.5%
Qualidade do mercado
44 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
2 mil €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
40.0% / 47.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
15/07/25, 14:00 UTC7/11/29, 15:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Vermont Secretary of State
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 112,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,2 mi
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 184,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 891,3 mil
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Volume total
- € 4,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 505,9 mil
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Volume total
- € 25,5 mi
- Volume 24h
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KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Volume total
- € 2,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 358,3 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Vermont Governor Winner? (2028)?
- A Kalshi cota Republican em 53% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) é resolvido?
- Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) deverá ser resolvido em 7 de novembro de 2029.
- Como Vermont Governor Winner? (2028) é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Vermont pursuant to the 2028 election, then the market resolves to Yes.