Change in the composition of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026?
Política dos EUAOne-Off2m
FutuurVerificar disponibilidadeDados de resolução verificadosProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 80%
Não 80%Qualidade do mercado
34 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
1,3 mil €
Baixa liquidezTraders
7
Comentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 1 minuto
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
[ACX 2026] Will the composition of the US Supreme Court change in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next justice confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next person appointed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?
KalshiAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketRegras
This event predicts whether the membership (composition) of the Supreme Court of the United States will change at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a “change in composition” means that at least one Justice leaves the Court (e.g., resignation, retirement, death) and/or at least one new Justice is sworn in to fill a seat.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements and records from the Supreme Court of the United States regarding its membership (e.g., official website communications) and the official record of any swearing-in.
- If at least one Justice leaves the Court and/or at least one new Justice is sworn in during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary changes due to recusals or other temporary absences will not count.