Which party will lead in RCP Congressional generic ballot polling for Oct. 27?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20266d
PredictItBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistNiet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRetail prediction exchange
Huidige impliciete kans
Democrats 8.0%-8.4% 97%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Democrats 8.0%-8.4% 97%Methodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Vraagtype
-
24u volume
€ 1,8
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
20 okt 26, 15:32 UTC27 okt 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be a polling error of at least 5% in the 2026 generic ballot polling?
Manifold MarketsGeneric Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (10/16-10/23)?
KalshiWhat will be the generic ballot on election day 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will lead in the early voting through 2026 midterms?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi2026 Midterms: House popular vote vs. generic ballot?
KalshiRegels
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify the RealClearPolling average "2026 Generic Congressional Vote" leader and spread at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the table of individual polls, available upon launch of this market at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/state-of-the-union/generic-congressional-vote ("the Settlement Source"), as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the difference between the two parties' support (currently labelled "Spread") will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 10/27/2026 11:00 AM (ET)
