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Gegevens van 1 sep 2026, 20:40 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31 34%+1.5ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
39 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 17,3
Liquiditeit
€ 1,6K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
2.4 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
9
7d wijziging
-2.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd24 feb 26, 2:081 jan 27, 4:59
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Open markten
Russia / UkrainePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt70%
- New People (NL)-1.0pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 20,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 221,8K
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt24%
- October 31-2.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 2027-0.5pt15%
- December7%
- September 30,-0.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- No+0.1pt99%
- Yes-0.1pt1%
- Totaal volume
- € 301,8K
- 24u volume
- € 44,6K
POLYMARKETWill Russia enter Hannivka by which date?
- December 31+16.9pt98%
- September 30+39.0pt97%
- August 31-5.0pt0%
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31-0.5pt39%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.1pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
- Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Will Russia capture Sumy by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date??
- Polymarket prijst December 31 op 34% per 1 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Uspenivka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, (47.78301797308696° N, 36.386232040928824° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).