PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 97%+9.4pt
Nee 97%+9.4ptMarktkwaliteit
64 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 1,8K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
1.3% / 3.8%
Spread
2.5 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
1
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 26 minuten geleden
24 sep 26, 19:19 UTC6 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Polymarket
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Minimumorder (aandelen):
- 5
- Prijsstap:
- 0,1 procentpunten
- Kosten:
- Ja
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill a hurricane make landfall in the continental U.S. before October 1, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
KalshiWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) states in its tropical cyclone information that the center of Tropical Storm Surigae (JMA designation T2626; PAGASA local name "Queenie") made landfall on or crossed Japanese land, or publishes for T2626 a "Center position" under an "Analysis" heading whose coordinates fall on Japanese land, by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Either one is sufficient on its own.
- A qualifying Center position counts however briefly the center remains over land, and counts on an island of any size.
- "Japan" refers to all territory under the administration of Japan, including the four main islands (Honshu, Hokkaido, Kyushu, and Shikoku), Okinawa, the Ryukyu Islands, the Ogasawara Islands, and all other Japanese islands.
- "Center position" is the field of that exact name in JMA's tropical cyclone information for T2626, and it is the only coordinate this market reads.