KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 86%
Marktkwaliteit
73 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 26,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 26,5K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
9.0% / 13.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
13 aug 26, 17:30 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWhere will a hurricane make landfall in the US during the 2026 hurricane season?
PolymarketWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill at least one major hurricane make landfall in the US*?
Manifold MarketsWill a hurricane make landfall in North Carolina this year?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by November 30, 2026?
ForecastExRegels
If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:AccuWeatherNBCAssociated PressNational Oceanic and Atmospheric AdministrationThe Wall Street Journalthe National Hurricane CenterThe Washington PostNational Weather ServiceCNN WeatherThe New York TimesBloomberg NewsThe Weather ChannelReuters
- This market encompasses the primary southeastern islands of the state of Hawaii.
- Those islands are: Niʻihau, Kauaʻi, Oʻahu, Molokaʻi, Lānaʻi, Kahoʻolawe, Maui, and the island of Hawai'i.
- It does not include the Midway Atoll, nor the Northwestern Islands, also known as the Leeward Hawaiian Islands.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 8?
- 32°C+69.0pt100%
- 27°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 28°C-0.3pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 154,6K
- 24u volume
- € 148,6K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+20.0pt99%
- Miami-4.0pt70%
- New Orleans-7.0pt59%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 92,3K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 8?
- 19°C+54.0pt98%
- 20°C-31.0pt2%
- 16°C or below-0.2pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above63.8%
- 88° to 89°19.1%
- 86° to 87°13.3%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 84,1K
- 24u volume
- € 79,3K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 8?
- 25°C+94.5pt100%
- 19°C or below-3.0pt0%
- 20°C-6.0pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 8?
- 29°C+70.5pt100%
- 26°C or below-8.4pt0%
- 27°C-10.4pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 8?
- Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 8?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst No op 86% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.