PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Ja 98%
Marktkwaliteit
48 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 506,9
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
95.6% / 99.6%
Spread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+2.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
11 aug 26, 15:00 UTC1 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will summer 2026 be France's hottest summer on record?
PolymarketThis Aug 2026 is the hottest August ever?
KalshiThis Sep 2026 is the hottest September ever?
KalshiSeptember 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?
PolymarketSeptember 2026 the hottest ever?
Manifold MarketsMin Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Met Office's mean temperature for the United Kingdom for meteorological summer 2026 (June 1 to August 31, 2026) is the highest for any summer in the Met Office record.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The current UK summer mean temperature record is 16.12°C, set in summer 2025.
- A UK summer 2026 mean temperature greater than 16.12°C is necessary and sufficient for a "Yes" resolution; a value equal to or below 16.12°C resolves "No".
- The primary resolution source will be the figure in the "sum" (summer) column of the row for year "2026" in the Met Office UK mean air temperature series (https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/datasets/Tmean/date/UK.txt).
- The market will resolve on the first value the Met Office publishes for summer 2026 in this series and will not be affected by any subsequent revision.
Open markten
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 232,5K
- 24u volume
- € 227,3K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 186,1K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Totaal volume
- € 66,7K
- 24u volume
- € 28,6K
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record??
- Polymarket prijst Yes op 98% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record? afgewikkeld?
- Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will summer 2026 be the UK's hottest summer on record? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Met Office's mean temperature for the United Kingdom for meteorological summer 2026 (June 1 to August 31, 2026) is the highest for any summer in the Met Office record.