PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenHuidige impliciete kans
December 31 44%-2.0%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
61 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 35,4K
Liquiditeit
€ 7,1K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
6.7% / 7.7%
Spread
14.9%
Brede spread7d wijziging
-1.3%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
11 feb 26, 20:1131 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
December 3144%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 50.802224° N, 35.379423° E in Pokrovka, Sumy Oblast, by February 28, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.