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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

8.5% (24u)One-OffRussia / UkraineTech18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
July 31
July 31 27%+4.5%
Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

52 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 3,7K

Liquiditeit

€ 8,1K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

16.0% / 18.0%

Spread

12.5%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-10.0%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

5 mei 26, 23:4830 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
May 31
May 31
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

July 3127%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Rodynske, Donetsk Oblast, (48.351463° N, 37.207979° E) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Rodynske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Rodynske, Donetsk Oblast, (48.351463° N, 37.207979° E) between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Rodynske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.