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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

0.1% (24u)One-OffRussia / Ukraine18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
December 31
December 31 16%-2.0%
Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

73 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 81,8K

Liquiditeit

€ 24,8K

Hoge liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

1.2% / 1.4%

Spread

16.7%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-0.6%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden

4 nov 25, 15:5430 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans
November 30
November 30
0%
December 31
December 31
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%

Gekozen uitkomst

December 3116%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line.
  • If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • For the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/h-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line.
  • If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • For the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/h-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.