Deze markt is beslist: No
Afgewikkeld: 4 feb 2024, 01:01
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Huidige impliciete kans
Nee 100%
Marktkwaliteit
15 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 123 dagen geleden
Verouderd6 dec 23, 23:1631 dec 23, 0:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Regels
If Google deploys an LLM that reaches the top of the Elo leaderboard on https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only models accessible to the public (e.g. developers or public sign-ups) will count for this market.
- If Google deploys a new model in 2023 that could reach the top of the leaderboard but is not yet ranked at year's end due to time required for evaluation, this market's resolution may be delayed until February 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.
- If at this point the resolution source still does not list the new model's ELO, the underlying script(s) will be used to determine whether google's model tops the leaderboard.
- Note that the model must be released by the resolution date to be considered (if they release a new version of the model after the resolution date, it will not be considered for this market).
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T+0.3pt98%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 105,9K
POLYMARKETWhich company does Ox Alpha belong to?
- Z.ai+12.2pt95%
- Google-2.1pt4%
- Nvidia+0.3pt1%
+20 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhat will Zoom say during their next earnings call?
- Enterprise+3.0pt99%
- Agentic+16.0pt99%
- Contact Center+6.0pt99%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.8pt65.7%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt11.8%
- Grok+0.4pt10.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 8 mln.
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- SpaceX-7.5pt58.2%
- Anthropic+4.5pt40.8%
- OpenAI+0.1pt1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+0.7pt95%
- Z.ai+0.3pt4%
- Moonshot-0.6pt1%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- XRP price on August 31
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- GPT-6 released by which date?
- Highest temperature in Miami on August 25, 2026?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- TOUR Championship Winner
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Google have the best LLM before 2024??
- Polymarket prijst No op 100% per 24 april 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? afgewikkeld?
- Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2023 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Google deploys an LLM that reaches the top of the Elo leaderboard on https://huggingface.co/spaces/lmsys/chatbot-arena-leaderboard by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".