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  3. Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

1.0% (24u)One-OffWeather7mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 81%-0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

71 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 43,3

Liquiditeit

€ 2,9K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

80.0% / 82.0%

Spread

2.5%

Strakke spread
7d wijziging

-5.5%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden

9 feb 26, 23:3110 jan 27, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes81%

Regels

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

Polymarket
  • If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
  • If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$62,702.01+1.68%EthereumETH$1,655.40+1.08%SolanaSOL$65.06+0.76%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.94%XRPXRP$1.12-0.20%BNBBNB$596.31+1.29%

Regels

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

Polymarket
  • If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
  • If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.