Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
0.5% (24u)One-OffPolitiekVerkiezingEurope1mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansJa 40%
Marktkwaliteit
91 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 512,2
Liquiditeit
€ 30,3K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
39.0% / 40.0%
Spread
2.6%
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+1.0%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
12 mei 26, 23:506 sep 26, 0:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes40%
Platforms vergelijken· No
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Hoog | 61% | +21pt | € 512,2 | € 30,3K | 15 minuten geleden | |
 Futuur82% overeenkomst · auto | Laag | 55% | +15pt | € 0 | € 1,8K | 15 minuten geleden | Openen → |
 Manifold Markets88% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | — | 47% | +7pt | — | — | 16 uur geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold Markets85% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | — | 62% | +22pt | — | — | 17 uur geleden | Openen → |
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Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026
1mnd
53.4%
46.6%
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling18 voorspellersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
5mnd
62%
38%
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling45 voorspellersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Futuur
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election?
1mnd
55%
45%
28 • Lage kwaliteitSpread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 36,2
24u volume€ 0
FUTUURRegels
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$1.7k38.5%POLYMARKETYessdiff12325 dgn geleden
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$5832 jul25d aan data26 jul
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.