PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansNone before 2027 38.5%+0.5ptKoploper van 29 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
57 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 25,6
Liquiditeit
€ 41,2K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
47.0% / 47.5%
Spread
0.5 pt
Strakke spread7d wijziging
-0.1 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 minuten geleden
22 mei 26, 19:1131 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
None before 202747%
Platforms vergelijken· Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste algemeen80% overeenkomst · auto | Gemiddeld | 31% | 0pt | € 1,8K | € 54,4K | 19 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| PolymarketDeze pagina | Gemiddeld | 34% | +3pt | € 25,6 | € 41,2K | 19 minuten geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
2j
+3.0pt31%
15%
11%
+18 extra uitkomsten
62 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitGematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitHoge ambiguïteit
Totaal volume€ 89K
24u volume€ 1,8K
KALSHIRegels
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Volumetrend
$292 jul27d aan data28 jul
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This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration.
- If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
- An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
- If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first.
- If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).