Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJD Vance (Vice President) 99%Koploper van 23 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
39
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
26 nov 25, 16:27 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many Cabinet members will Trump say he fired in 2026?
KalshiHow many US cabinet members will leave in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PolymarketHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump pardon any of his cabinet members from his second term?
Manifold MarketsWho will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
KalshiRegels
Taking Cabinet members from here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_cabinet_of_Donald_Trump
- If a Cabinet member changes positions within the administration, they will resolve “No”.
- Announcing a planned departure but not vacating the position by the end of 2026 will not count.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695,7K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 294,7K
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 291,3K
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst JD Vance (Vice President) op 99% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Which Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Taking Cabinet members from here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Second_cabinet_of_Donald_Trump