Huidige impliciete kans
None in 2026 72.8%-0.5ptKoploper van 9 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
None in 2026 72.8%-0.5ptMarktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 15,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
3
7d wijziging
-1.6 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 20 minuten geleden
13 feb 26, 21:45 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Polymarket
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Minimumorder (aandelen):
- 5
- Prijsstap:
- 1 procentpunten
- Kosten:
- Ja
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a Russian-developed LLM reach the top 100 on LMSYS Chatbot Arena by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsChatbot Arena: How high will AI score in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich Companies will top Chatbot Arena Leaderboard in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
PolymarketWill a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
- If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
