Huidige impliciete kans
None in 2026 70%+4.0%Koploper van 32 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
64 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 984,3
Liquiditeit
€ 41,3K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
67.0% / 73.0%
Spread
9.0%
Brede spread7d wijziging
+11.0%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
13 feb 26, 21:4931 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
Gekozen uitkomst
None in 202670%
Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
5.0%6mnd
-5.0%31%
1%
7%
+5 extra uitkomsten
28 • Lage kwaliteitBrede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt
Totaal volume€ 711,8
24u volume€ 4,9
KALSHIRegels
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
- If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
- If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Gerelateerde Markten
Top AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
€ 5,2KGoogle: 14.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Best AI at the end of 2026?
€ 425,9Claude: 67%KALSHI
KALSHIIn 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?
€ 216,6Ja: 19.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich "AI 2027" predictions will be right by Late 2026?
€ 86,6Mainstream narrative shift: 71.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash output token price (paid tier) get in 2026?
€ 75,9$8/MTok or below: 24%KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto News
EU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto News
JPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto News
OpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.News
OpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraph
Nvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto NewsRegels
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
- If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
- If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.