Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
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National + ACT + NZF 46.6%+1.5ptKoploper van 18 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 170,2K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.7 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
8
7d wijziging
-1.6 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
4 mei 26, 20:12 UTC7 nov 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
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KalshiRegels
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the first ruling coalition of parties that forms after the next New Zealand general election.
- A party will only be considered part of the ruling coalition if it participates in the governing coalition and provides at least one Cabinet minister.
- Parties that merely support the government from outside Cabinet, including through confidence-and-supply agreements or similar arrangements, without holding a Cabinet post will not qualify.
- The following parties will be considered for this market: ACT New Zealand (ACT), Labour Party (Labour), Te Pāti Māori (Maori), National Party (National), Green Party (Green), and New Zealand First Party (NZF).
- All other parties will not be considered.