PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansJa 5%
Marktkwaliteit
56 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 13,2
Liquiditeit
€ 34,3K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
4.1% / 4.9%
Spread
19.5%
Brede spread7d wijziging
+0.8%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 minuten geleden
14 jan 26, 19:1431 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes5%
Grote trades
$1.0k95.0%POLYMARKETNohellokitty11722 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETNohellokitty11722 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$152 jul25d aan data26 jul
Gerelateerde Markten
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
€ 1,9KJa: 77%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who invades first: China (Taiwan) or U.S. (Greenland)?
€ 1,1KChina invades Taiwan first: 11.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
€ 454Ja: 6.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf Trump is elected in 2024, will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before 2030?
€ 113,3Ja: 32.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?
€ 0Before 2027: 5%
KALSHI
KALSHI
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
€ 0Ja: 14%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.NewsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
- Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
- Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.