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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Geopolitiek
  3. US x China Military clash before 2027?
US x China Military clash before 2027?

US x China Military clash before 2027?

0.5% (24u)One-OffGeopolitiekChina6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 8%+0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

52 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 218,4

Liquiditeit

€ 16,7K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

7.0% / 8.0%

Spread

14.3%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

+1.5%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden

14 jan 26, 19:1531 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes8%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.