KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitGeen actuele koersen
Gegevens van 22 sep 2026, 02:07 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Before 2027 22%
Marktkwaliteit
47 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 10,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
2.0% / 7.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
11 mei 26, 16:00 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
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If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:White House
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with the Republic of China, accepting an ambassador from the Republic of China, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies the Republic of China as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.
- Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase-2.0pt52%
- No change+2.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 821,9K
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- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
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- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.3pt8.1%
+1 extra uitkomsten
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- December 31+0.4pt4%
- September 30+0.3pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
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- September 30+4.6pt100%
- October 31+3.3pt100%
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+3 extra uitkomsten
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- Karen Bass-7.0pt56%
- Nithya Raman+6.0pt44%
- Totaal volume
- € 28,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 537,2K
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Ohio Senate winner?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Trump recognize Taiwan??
- Kalshi prijst Before 2027 op 22% per 22 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Trump recognize Taiwan? afgewikkeld?
- Will Trump recognize Taiwan? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Trump recognize Taiwan? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes the Republic of China as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.