PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: June 30
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Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Huidige impliciete kans
June 30 100%+88.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 88,1K
Liquiditeit
€ 318,5K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
0.1 pt
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+70.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 108 dagen geleden
Verouderd26 dec 25, 19:4430 jun 26, 0:00
Trends
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Nigerian soil or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Nigerian ground territory or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Nigerian soil is hit by a US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Nigerian territory or cause damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 23,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 404,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.0pt62%
- October 31+3.0pt40%
- September 30+1.0pt21%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 55 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 283,2K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt70.3%
- New People (NL)-2.1pt23.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.3pt5%
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt25%
- October 31-1.0pt13%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIran full airspace closure by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- September 3012%
- June 30+0.3pt0%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Iran invades Kuwait by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date??
- Polymarket prijst June 30 op 100% per 16 mei 2026.
- Wanneer wordt U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? afgewikkeld?
- U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 30 juni 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt U.S. strike on Nigeria by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Nigerian soil or any official Nigerian embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.