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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Economie
  3. UK Recession in 2026?
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

5.0% (24u)EconomieOne-Off9mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 49%+0.1%
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 93,8

Liquiditeit

€ 1,3K

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

46.0% / 51.0%

Spread

10.9%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

+10.5%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden

23 apr 26, 22:3231 mrt 27, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes49%

Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
  • Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
  • This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
  • Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.

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Actief in deze onderwerpen

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Regels

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Kingdom’s seasonally adjusted quarter-on-quarter percent change in real GDP, as reported by the Office for National Statistics, is less than 0.0 for two consecutive quarters between Q1 and Q4 2026.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • This market includes estimates reported in both the Office for National Statistics’ GDP first quarterly estimate, UK releases and the updated GDP quarterly national accounts, UK releases for the relevant quarters.
  • Monthly GDP estimates will not be considered.
  • This market’s resolution will be based on the most recently available qualifying estimates for the relevant quarters at the time of each relevant release.
  • Any two consecutive quarters with qualifying negative GDP growth will be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of prior or later revisions.