PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: 35%+
Afgewikkeld: 12 sep 2026, 23:29
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Winnende Uitkomst
35%+
Op 7 dagen afstand
—
Op 24 uur afstand
99%
ConsensusWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 13 sep 2026, 14:55 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
35%+97%
40%+0%
45%+3%
50%+4%
55%+2%
35%+Gewonnen
40%+Verloren
45%+Verloren
50%+Verloren
55%+Verloren
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Grok Model (4.6+) model added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If a model first appears on the site but is removed before 12:00 PM ET on the following calendar date, its appearance will not qualify as added to the Humanity’s Last Exam results.
- A qualifying SpaceXAI model must have “Grok” in its displayed model name and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, grok-4.6-high, grok-4.7-thinking, grok-5, or similar would qualify.
- Models whose displayed name does not include “Grok,” or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as grok-4.1-expert, grok-4.3-heavy, grok-4.5-GA will not qualify.
