Huidige impliciete kans
October 31 87%-5.8ptKoploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
30 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 283,4
Liquiditeit
€ 133,4
Lage liquiditeitSpread
23.9 pt
Brede spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+26.8 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
14 aug 26, 21:53 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Qwen 4 (Alibaba Qwen) release date
Manifold MarketsQwen 3.9+ (Alibaba Qwen) release date
Manifold MarketsNext Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by which date?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Qwen" and "Max," be the flagship model of Alibaba's core Qwen Max tier, and be designated as version 3.9 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 3.9 or higher named in the same manner as Qwen3.7-Max or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Qwen4-Max, while models whose name does not include "Max" or which retain a version designation below 3.9, such as Qwen3.8-Max, including its stable, open-weight, or snapshot re-releases, or Qwen3.8-Max-Preview, will not qualify.
- Derivative lines such as VL, Coder, Omni, or other specialized variants, such as qwen-vl-max, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Open markten
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 125,4K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 156,3K
- 24u volume
- € 26,1K
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by which date??
- Polymarket prijst October 31 op 87% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alibaba's next Qwen Max model (3.9+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).