PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
September 30 13%+0.5pt
Marktkwaliteit
70 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 10,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 40K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
12.0% / 14.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
10 sep 26, 20:07 UTC1 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces seize control of an oil tanker or a commercial vessel transporting oil as cargo between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- "Houthi forces" refers to the military forces of the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf.
- Seize control refers to Houthi forces taking custody of or asserting operational control over a commercial ship, including boarding and taking control of the ship, holding or detaining it for an indefinite period, or forcefully rerouting it to a location selected or controlled by the perpetrators.
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Once a qualifying seizure has occured, any subsequent abandonment, release, rescue, recapture, or other loss of control will not affect the resolution of this market.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt24%
- October 31-5.5pt17%
- September 30-4.5pt8%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 11,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 355,4K
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No84.2%
- Yes15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 56,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 292,3K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+2.6pt66%
- October 31+4.5pt41%
- September 30+5.0pt24%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)79%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt17%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+15.0pt63%
- September 30+19.0pt49%
- September 21+21.5pt42%
+6 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+7.0pt92%
- September 18+10.5pt91%
- September 4+11.0pt87%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Houthis seize an oil tanker by which date??
- Polymarket prijst September 30 op 13% per 12 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Houthis seize an oil tanker by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Houthis seize an oil tanker by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Houthis seize an oil tanker by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces seize control of an oil tanker or a commercial vessel transporting oil as cargo between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.