PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenHuidige impliciete kansJa 100%
Marktkwaliteit
79 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 943,3
Liquiditeit
€ 9,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
99.6% / 99.8%
Spread
0.2%
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+1.7%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
23 dec 25, 22:4631 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
100%
0%
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes100%
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
ECB rate hike in 2026?
6mnd
97.9%
2.1%
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling15 voorspellersType: binary
Totaal volume€ 8,2K
24u volume€ 1K
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.