PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
25 bps increase 100%+0.1ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
88 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 46K
Liquiditeit
€ 161,4K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
0.1 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
7d wijziging
+0.6 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
17 jun 26, 22:53 UTC10 sep 26, 11:59 UTC
Trends
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
Polymarket🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed lower the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?
KalshiWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExRegels
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- The resolution source will be official information from the European Central Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 meeting, scheduled for September 9-10, 2026, as listed on the official European Central Bank calendar (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/mgcgc/html/index.en.html).
- This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the European Central Bank's September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
- If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
- If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines.
- Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps).
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor 25 bps increase is 100%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 1 procentpunt uiteen. De platforms zijn het er niet over eens welke uitkomst voorligt.
CoinRithm-referentie 25 bps increase 100% · 2 platforms · 1 pt spreiding tussen venues
- Ook beschikbaar op Kalshi — European Central Bank rate decision in September · Hike 1-25bps 95%
- Ook beschikbaar op Limitless — ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 · 25 bps increase 98%
Open markten
Central BanksKALSHIEuropean Central Bank rate decision in September
- Hike 1-25bps+1.0pt95.2%
- Maintain current rate+1.0pt1.9%
- Hike more than 25bps1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 78,1K
- 24u volume
- € 21K
POLYMARKETBank of Japan Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+0.5pt97%
- 50+ bps increase+0.7pt2%
- No change-1.3pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: October 2026
- No change-1.0pt88.1%
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt11.9%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHICzech National Bank rate decision in September
- Maintain current rate94%
- Hike 25bps+28.0pt33%
- Cut 50bps2%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 41,2K
- 24u volume
KALSHIBank of Japan rate decision in September
- Hike 25bps-1.0pt94.2%
- Hike more than 25bps+1.0pt1.9%
- Maintain current rate1.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- H 0+1.0pt63.3%
- H 2525.7%
- C 255.5%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 6,1K
- 24u volume
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
- Bank of England decision in September?
- Bank of Japan Decision in October?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jul 2027)
- Bank of Canada Decision in October?
- Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in September
- Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor ECB Interest Rates: September 2026?
- Polymarket prijst 25 bps increase op 100% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 afgewikkeld?
- ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 10 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the deposit facility rate resulting from the September 2026 meeting of the European Central Bank, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
- Waar wordt ECB Interest Rates: September 2026 nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi, Limitless.