KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Hike 1-25bps (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 29 sep 2026, 12:38
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 29 sep 2026, 07:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Maintain current rate4%
Hike more than 25bps1%
Hike 1-25bps99%
Hike 1-25bpsGewonnen
Maintain current rateVerloren
Cut more than 25bpsVerloren
Cut 1-25bpsVerloren
Hike more than 25bpsVerloren
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in November
KalshiWill the Reserve Bank of Australia lower the rate 25bps at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExReserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
PolymarketReserve Bank of Australia (RBA) decision in November?
Manifold MarketsWill the Reserve Bank of Australia leave the rate unchanged at the November 3, 2026 meeting? (RBA) (Interest rates) (Cash rate) (Monetary policy) (Rate hike) (Rate cut)?
ForecastExRegels
Gearchiveerde regels op evenementniveau. De exacte voorwaarden per uitkomst zijn niet meer beschikbaar.
If the Reserve Bank of Australia takes the action of the named outcome at the September Monetary Policy Board meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves based on the official policy rate decision announced by the central bank.
- For central banks with multiple policy rates, only changes to the primary policy rate count.
- If the meeting is cancelled or delayed past the expiration date, markets for "No change" resolve to Yes and all others resolve to No. Emergency rate changes between scheduled meetings do not affect resolution of contracts tied to scheduled meetings.
- The specific basis point ranges are inclusive (e.g., "25-50bp" includes both 25bp and 50bp changes).
