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Gegevens van 9 sep 2026, 03:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
September 30 86%-0.3pt
Marktkwaliteit
45 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,1K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
75.9% / 78.4%
Spread
2.5 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
3 sep 26, 00:17 UTC1 okt 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' between market creation and the specified calendar day (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- ChatGPT will be considered to have experienced a qualifying incident on the specified day if the OpenAI Status Page for ChatGPT (status.openai.com) displays that day’s status box as a shade of red indicating Partial/Full Outage once it is finalized.
- (green indicates "No incidents", yellow indicates "Degraded performance").
- A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box is added on the Status Page.
- Only incidents listing ChatGPT under 'Affected components' will be considered.
Open markten
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- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Totaal volume
- € 224,7K
- 24u volume
- € 160,5K
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
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+3 extra uitkomsten
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- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
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KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 344,9K
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- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
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- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor ChatGPT Outage by which date??
- Polymarket prijst September 30 op 86% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt ChatGPT Outage by which date? afgewikkeld?
- ChatGPT Outage by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt ChatGPT Outage by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's ChatGPT experiences any incident classified as 'Partial/Full Outage' between market creation and the specified calendar day (ET).