PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Ja 50.5%-1.0pt
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 140,3
Liquiditeit
€ 1,6K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
2
7d wijziging
+3.5 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
14 jan 26, 00:53 UTC5 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats have a seat count of 235 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 51 or more in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor CoinRithm-referentie is 45%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 6 procentpunten uiteen.
CoinRithm-referentie 45% · 2 platforms · 6 pt spreiding tussen venues
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 193,6 mln.
- 24u volume
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 506,4K
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 843,4K
- 24u volume
- € 408K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Blue tsunami in 2026??
- Polymarket prijst Yes op 51% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Blue tsunami in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Blue tsunami in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 5 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Blue tsunami in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Waar wordt Blue tsunami in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Kalshi.