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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
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  3. 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?

One-OffTrade PolicyGeopolitiekMiddle East18d
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 1%
Marktkwaliteit

40 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 5,9K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

0.8% / 1.1%

Spread

37.5%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-0.7%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden

25 nov 25, 22:0730 jun 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes1%

Regels

Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope.

Polymarket
  • Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits for the full year of 2023, or about 2,923 container ship transits per half-year.
  • Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with a reported average of around 874 container ship transits of the canal per half-year in 2024.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 2000 or more container ship transits of the Suez Canal during the first two quarters of 2026.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The primary source of resolution for this market will be the Suez Canal Authority (SCA), specifically the number of “Container Ships” reported in the SCA “Quarter Number & Net Ton by Ship Type” reports for Q1 & Q2 2026 (https://www.suezcanal.gov.eg/English/Navigation/Pages/NavigationStatistics.aspx).

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Regels

Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope.

Polymarket
  • Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits for the full year of 2023, or about 2,923 container ship transits per half-year.
  • Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with a reported average of around 874 container ship transits of the canal per half-year in 2024.
  • This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 2000 or more container ship transits of the Suez Canal during the first two quarters of 2026.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The primary source of resolution for this market will be the Suez Canal Authority (SCA), specifically the number of “Container Ships” reported in the SCA “Quarter Number & Net Ton by Ship Type” reports for Q1 & Q2 2026 (https://www.suezcanal.gov.eg/English/Navigation/Pages/NavigationStatistics.aspx).