2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?
1.8% (24u)SpaceOne-OffTrade PolicyGeopolitiekMiddle East1mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansJa 1%-0.0%
Marktkwaliteit
24 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 0
Liquiditeit
€ 2,1K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
0.2% / 2.6%
Spread
1200.0%
Brede spread7d wijziging
-0.5%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 24 minuten geleden
25 nov 25, 22:001 sep 26, 23:59
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes1%
Volumetrend
$103 jul16d aan data24 jul
Gerelateerde Markten
US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
€ 6,6KDecember 31: 11%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
€ 26,4Ja: 44.5%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
€ 10,3KDecember 31: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill the US impose 50% secondary tariffs on any Iran weapons supplier by July 31, 2026?
€ 4,1Ja: 9.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
How much will the US acquire Greenland for?
€ 873,5$0 / No Acquisition: 81%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
€ 136,1India: 22%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk
Russia is legalizing crypto for everyone except RussiansCrypto News
Polymarket odds: Eizenkot jumps to 46% to lead Israel PM raceBlockchain.News
Polymarket: US invasion of Iran odds jump to 23.5% after Jordan base claimBlockchain.News
Polymarket prices China–Japan clash at 7.5% after ICC dispute spotlights TokyoBlockchain.News
Polymarket lifts US-Iran invasion odds to 18.5% after blockade, strikesBlockchain.NewsRegels
Container shipping through the Suez Canal has been severely impacted since late 2023 due to security concerns in the Red Sea related to Houthi attacks, with major carriers rerouting around the Cape of Good Hope.
- Prior to these concerns, the Suez Canal Authority (SCA) reported 5,847 container ship transits for the full year of 2023, or about 2,923 container ship transits per half-year.
- Following the Houthi attacks, the number of container ships transiting the canal has dropped significantly, with a reported average of around 874 container ship transits of the canal per half-year in 2024.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if there are 2000 or more container ship transits of the Suez Canal during the first two quarters of 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The primary source of resolution for this market will be the Suez Canal Authority (SCA), specifically the number of “Container Ships” reported in the SCA “Quarter Number & Net Ton by Ship Type” reports for Q1 & Q2 2026 (https://www.suezcanal.gov.eg/English/Navigation/Pages/NavigationStatistics.aspx).