Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026?
CommoditiesOne-OffGeopolitiekMiddle EastTrade Policy3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.1%
Voorspellers
26
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 uur geleden
Verouderd21 apr 26, 13:38 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, by 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, there are no significant restrictions, detentions, or military-backed disruptions to commercial shipping transiting the Strait of Hormuz compared to pre-2023 levels, as reported by major international maritime authorities or reputable news outlets.
- The market resolves to NO if, at any point throughout 2026, incidents such as the seizure of vessels by state actors, declared maritime exclusion zones, or significant, sustained disruptions to commercial traffic originating from geopolitical tensions persist or reoccur.
- Relevant sources for determining the status of shipping include reports from the International Maritime Organization (IMO), the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO), and major international wire services (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press).
- If sources are conflicting or ambiguous, the market will resolve based on the consensus reported by major international news outlets regarding whether "normal" transit conditions have returned.
Open markten
Commodities
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?
- Above $90.99+14.0pt99%
- Above $90.49+9.0pt99%
- Above $83.4999%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 414,5K
- 24u volume
- € 265,7K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+34 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 126,9K
- 24u volume
- € 126,9K
KALSHINatural gas price on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Above $2.85097%
- Above $2.85594%
- Above $2.86591%
+67 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 113,8K
- 24u volume
- € 113,1K
KALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.150099%
- Above 4.145099%
- Above 4.135099%
+22 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 112,4K
- 24u volume
- € 110,5K
KALSHIOil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Above $85.4999%
- Above $85.99+7.0pt99%
- Above $84.9999%
+27 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 113,6K
- 24u volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 87% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Free flow of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz returns to normal in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This description was generated by AI.