MyriadHuidige impliciete kans
Ja 6.8%
Marktkwaliteit
40 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 311,5
Liquiditeit
€ 1,3K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
-
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
17 dec 25, 15:0931 jul 26, 23:59
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
YES7%
Platforms vergelijken· NO
Gesorteerd op 24u-volume| Platform | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MyriadDeze paginaMeest actief | 93% | — | € 311,5 | € 1,3K | 5 minuten geleden | |
 Manifold Markets | 92% | — | — | — | 6 minuten geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire before August 1, 2026?
23d
8.3%
91.7%
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling109 voorspellersType: binary
Totaal volume€ 10,9K
24u volume€ 0
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Yes/No Criteria:**
- - Resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time.
- The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions).
- Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea). - Resolves to **"No"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Yes/No Criteria:**
- - Resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time.
- The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions).
- Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea). - Resolves to **"No"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends