Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 95%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd22 jan 25, 16:09 UTC29 jan 50, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegels
[image]This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky.
- They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.
- I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt66.3%
- No change-2.0pt32.7%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 11,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,5 mln.
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-0.1pt91.1%
- Republican Party8.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 32,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 849,7K
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+0.9pt14%
+50 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Democratic Party-4.0pt61%
- Republican Party+3.0pt39%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 572,5K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 3177%
- December 31+3.3pt62%
- November 3048%
+20 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-0.1pt51%
- Marco Rubio15%
- Ron DeSantis+0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Maine Senate Election Winner
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Nebraska Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
- Texas Senate winner?
- California Governor winner? (Person)
- How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Years from now, will it "come out that J.D. Vance was paying male hookers"??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 25 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Years from now, will it "come out that J.D. Vance was paying male hookers"? afgewikkeld?
- Years from now, will it "come out that J.D. Vance was paying male hookers"? wordt naar verwachting op 29 januari 2050 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Years from now, will it "come out that J.D. Vance was paying male hookers"? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: [image]This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky.