Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 71.6%
Voorspellers
32
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd21 feb 24, 21:22 UTC22 feb 27, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
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Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
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KalshiRegels
This could be positive (AI technology has made some improvement to my life that improves my day-to-day experience) or negative (AI puts me out of work or lowers my ability to get a job or lowers my income as a software engineer)
- This market is very subjective, so I will not be participating.
- Update 2025-11-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Secondary economic effects do not count: If the AI bubble bursts and affects the creator's living standards as a secondary effect (e.g., through investor behavior), this would not count as AI affecting their quality of life.
- AI must be instrumental in the change, not just an indirect cause through economic ripple effects.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.6pt100%
- Meta0%
- Google0%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 74,3K
KALSHIWhat will Mark Carney say during the United Nations General Assembly?
- Event does not qualify+1.0pt99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-6.0pt1%
- Afford / Affordable / Affordability-29.0pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETTrump renames AI by September 30?
- No+5.5pt78.2%
- Yes-5.5pt21.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 208,1K
- 24u volume
- € 51,2K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.5pt72.7%
- ChatGPT-1.2pt12.1%
- Gemini-1.2pt8.1%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,6 mln.
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-6.8pt25.5%
- $2.25–$2.5T21.6%
- $1.75–$2.0T+2.5pt18.6%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude+2.0pt90.8%
- ChatGPT2.8%
- MUSE0.9%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 184,4K
- 24u volume
- € 23,4K
- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Qwen market share this week
- OpenAI market share this week
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- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will my standard of living 3 years from now be meaningfully affected by AI??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 71.6% per 24 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will my standard of living 3 years from now be meaningfully affected by AI? afgewikkeld?
- Will my standard of living 3 years from now be meaningfully affected by AI? wordt naar verwachting op 22 februari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will my standard of living 3 years from now be meaningfully affected by AI? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This could be positive (AI technology has made some improvement to my life that improves my day-to-day experience) or negative (AI puts me out of work or lowers my ability to get a job or lowers my income as a software engineer)