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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd31 dec 23, 01:59 UTC1 jan 28, 07:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping serve as General Secretary of the CCP and the President of the People's Republic of China through 2027?
Manifold MarketsPutin, Xi Jinping, or Kim Jong Un out by 2028
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
PolymarketXi Jinping divorce before 2027?
PolymarketWho will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
For the purposes of this question, Xi Jinping's leadership of China includes both formal titles (President, General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission) as well as his de facto leadership.
- If Xi ceases to hold all of his formal titles, but comes up with a new one and is still widely recognized as holding de facto power, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
- If Xi becomes ill and arguably "de facto" power is held for a short period by someone else, but Xi keeps any of titles during this period, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-88b203241f22
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-5440920441a8
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 11,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 38,7K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 356,3K
- 24u volume
- € 13,5K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 11K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: For the purposes of this question, Xi Jinping's leadership of China includes both formal titles (President, General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission) as well as his de facto leadership.
- Waar wordt Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket, Limitless.