Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
One-OffChinaPolitiekGeopolitiek3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96.9%
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Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd18 sep 23, 21:05 UTC1 jan 27, 07:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
For the purposes of this question, Xi Jinping's leadership of China includes both formal titles (President, General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission) as well as his de facto leadership.
- If Xi ceases to hold all of his formal titles, but comes up with a new one and is still widely recognized as holding de facto power, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
- If Xi becomes ill and arguably "de facto" power is held for a short period by someone else, but Xi keeps any of titles during this period, this would not count as ceasing to be China's leader.
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-88b203241f22
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-5440920441a8
- @/cash/will-xi-jinping-cease-to-be-chinas-dc30a08f527f
Open markten
ChinaPOLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.1pt96%
- Yes+0.1pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 11,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 38,7K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C+18.0pt56.1%
- 27°C-3.0pt19.6%
- 25°C-3.5pt15.9%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 356,3K
- 24u volume
- € 13,5K
POLYMARKETWill Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- October 31+1.6pt98%
- December 31+1.6pt97%
- September 3095%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 11K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: For the purposes of this question, Xi Jinping's leadership of China includes both formal titles (President, General Secretary, Chairman of the Central Military Commission) as well as his de facto leadership.