Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 84.4%
Voorspellers
23
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd29 aug 23, 08:39 UTC1 jan 85, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will we have a terrestrial space elevator by 2150?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have a Space Elevator before 2055?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a space elevator by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have a Space Elevator before 2065?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a skyhook space structure placed in LEO before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill there be evidence of extraterrestrial life presented by the end of the year 2031?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolves YES if the following is satisfied:
- A tether from earth to a counterweight beyond geostationary orbit
- Vehicles with capacity to lift over 1,000kg payload to geostationary orbit (presumably bigger but let's make it easy) by traversing the tether
- One successful deployment of such a vehicle and payload
- There was talk about doing this by 2050 (China, Japan), but I suspect that was a little overly optimistic.
- Other markets on manifold predict a start date (at time of writing) of 2069.
