Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 86.2%
Voorspellers
22
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 21 minuten geleden
25 dec 23, 13:11 UTC1 mrt 55, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2060?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have a Space Elevator before 2065?
Manifold MarketsWill Earth have a Space Elevator before 2070?
Manifold MarketsIs Earth flat?
PolymarketWill a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
KalshiEvidence of life out of Earth by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegels
Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2055, Earth is equipped with an operational Space Elevator.
- This refers to a structure or a system of structures that extends from the surface of the Earth into space, allowing for the transport of goods and people to and from Earth's orbit without the use of traditional rocket propulsion.
- The Space Elevator must be capable of regular operation and able to sustain continuous movement of payloads between Earth and space.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-earth-have-a-space-elevator-be-3192414ff7cb
- @/RemNi/will-earth-have-a-space-elevator-be-292c3a01b029
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 103,1K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 57,4K
- 24u volume
- € 57,4K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 817,9K
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2055??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 86% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2055? afgewikkeld?
- Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2055? wordt naar verwachting op 1 maart 2055 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Earth have a Space Elevator before 2055? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2055, Earth is equipped with an operational Space Elevator.