Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 76.1%
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40
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 minuten geleden
27 aug 23, 15:37 UTC8 dec 50, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
KalshiWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be re-elected as President of Ukraine before 2028
Manifold MarketsWhen will Volodymyr Zelenskyy announce national elections?
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy stop being president of Ukraine before the Russia-Ukraine war ends.
Manifold MarketsWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy remain President of Ukraine through the end of 2026?
FutuurWhere will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves when one of them is confirmed dead and the other is alive.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.0pt77%
- September 18+4.0pt72%
- September 11+8.0pt67%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 512,6K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-0.8pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt50.4%
- October 31-2.5pt27.8%
- September 30-1.0pt12.2%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- No+5.0pt84.2%
- Yes-5.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 266,5K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 56,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 170,4K
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 76% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? afgewikkeld?
- Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? wordt naar verwachting op 8 december 2050 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Vladimir Putin outlast Volodymyr Zelenskyy? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves when one of them is confirmed dead and the other is alive.