Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 84.5%
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12
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd15 apr 26, 10:40 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be hard fuel rationing in the UK in 2026?
Manifold MarketsAustralian Government Announces Fuel Rationing
Manifold MarketsWill US Gasoline prices exceed $1.7 for the week ending June 29, 2027? (Fuel) (Pump cost) (Energy) (Petroleum)?
ForecastExWill any non-USA country ease Russian oil sanctions or price caps?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill a US ally get a nuke before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if the government issues formal advice to citizens and / or businesses, even if not backed by a specific law or legal threat, that they should restrict their consumption of any fossil fuel.
- Things that would trigger a YES resolution (examples, not exclusive)
- Advice to work from home where possible due to fuel storages.
- “Alternate day filling” type rules.
- Any kind of logistical system set up that prioritises e.g. hospitals.
- I will be arbiter of what is or is not soft rationing so will not bet on this market.
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 25,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 107,6K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 104,5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be soft fuel rationing in the UK in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 85% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be soft fuel rationing in the UK in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be soft fuel rationing in the UK in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be soft fuel rationing in the UK in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if the government issues formal advice to citizens and / or businesses, even if not backed by a specific law or legal threat, that they should restrict their consumption of any fossil fuel.