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Nee 58.4%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
13 feb 24, 11:26 UTC1 jan 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How much solar power will the world install in 2027?
Manifold Markets1GW of solar power in Earth orbit by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada have at least 1GW of space to ground power transmission in 2045?
Manifold MarketsUS solar capacity installed in 2026
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegels
This would be for an average, not peak, so after accounting for intermittency.
- Credible estimates will be accepted as source to resolve YES.
- Solar power does not have to be beamed back, power is counted after conversion to electricity, but before use
Open markten
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt88%
- OpenAI-1.7pt10%
- Google2%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 2,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 85,3K
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes59.4%
- No40.6%
- Totaal volume
- € 153,6K
- 24u volume
- € 39,2K
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+3.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- October 3197%
- Successful splash down?84%
- September 30-5.3pt83%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 409,9K
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+1.3pt59.8%
- SpaceX-4.5pt38.1%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-1.0pt84%
- Above 9-27.0pt46%
- Above 10-8.0pt23%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released on?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- AI data center in space by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be more than 1GW of in-space solar power generation by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 58% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be more than 1GW of in-space solar power generation by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be more than 1GW of in-space solar power generation by 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be more than 1GW of in-space solar power generation by 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This would be for an average, not peak, so after accounting for intermittency.