Waarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 11:57 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 65.6%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
34
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd6 nov 25, 05:24 UTC15 jan 32, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
Manifold MarketsWhen will SpaceX's AI1 orbital data center be operational?
Manifold MarketsWill any of CPUs/GPU created by hackerfab generate at least 10^18 operations of compute by EOY2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032?
Manifold MarketsNorth Carolina enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
PolymarketRegels
Inspired by:
- [tweet]Does not include compute solely in support of normal satellite activities like communication or imaging.
- Update 2025-11-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification on what counts as "compute":
- Current satellite edge computing (e.g., Starlink's onboard processing for communications) does not count toward the 1GW threshold
- Only orbital data centers count - facilities where:
- The customer is indifferent about the data center's location (aside from price)
