When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational?
One-OffSpace10j
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
2031-2032 35.2%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-0.4 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd11 jun 26, 08:13 UTC31 dec 36, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
The market resolves to the period containing the first date on which a space-based computing facility meets ALL of the following:
- Power: At least 1 MW of electrical power dedicated to computing payloads (not total bus power).
- A single spacecraft or a constellation explicitly operated as one integrated compute cluster (e.g., optically interconnected and marketed/operated as a single facility) both qualify.
- Aggregating unrelated satellites does not.
- Operational: The facility has performed commercial or institutional computing workloads for at least 30 consecutive days.
- Demonstrators count only if serving external customers or sustained internal production workloads (e.g., the operator's own training/inference).
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2031-2032 op 35% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational? afgewikkeld?
- When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2036 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the first orbital data center with ≥1 MW of compute power become operational? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: The market resolves to the period containing the first date on which a space-based computing facility meets ALL of the following:
