Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026
GeopolitiekOne-OffMiddle East3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 74.7%
Voorspellers
14
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd2 mrt 26, 10:16 UTC31 dec 26, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US announce the withdrawal of at least half of its troops from Europe by the end of 2026?
FutuurUSD x Iranian rials End of September? (Higher Strikes)
PolymarketRegels
Update 2026-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Russian-Ukrainian war casualties do NOT count towards resolution.
- This market is specifically for new conflicts (such as Iran bombing a European country).
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026?
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026 wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be any casualties in Europe from missile strikes in 2026 afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Update 2026-03-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Russian-Ukrainian war casualties do NOT count towards resolution.